Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.041758 0.048580 0.056163 0.065216 0.075735 0.087574 0.101917
2025-11-23 0.030882 0.039730 0.050584 0.064884 0.083243 0.106044 0.136557
2025-11-30 0.025124 0.034895 0.047818 0.066170 0.091595 0.125635 0.174784
2025-12-07 0.020652 0.030541 0.044451 0.065457 0.096436 0.140544 0.208332
2025-12-14 0.017118 0.026721 0.040963 0.063644 0.098943 0.151945 0.237909
2025-12-21 0.014424 0.023625 0.037932 0.061819 0.100822 0.162225 0.266717
2025-12-28 0.012929 0.022128 0.037058 0.063082 0.107479 0.180455 0.310210
2026-01-04 0.011528 0.020544 0.035771 0.063392 0.112456 0.196384 0.351789
2026-01-11 0.010331 0.019121 0.034525 0.063526 0.117025 0.212013 0.394691
2026-01-18 0.009428 0.018082 0.033787 0.064409 0.122944 0.230589 0.445142
2026-01-25 0.008753 0.017363 0.033514 0.066071 0.130443 0.252831 0.505192
2026-02-01 0.007714 0.015800 0.031452 0.064015 0.130496 0.260956 0.538774
2026-02-08 0.006992 0.014788 0.030359 0.063793 0.134275 0.277033 0.591012
2026-02-15 0.006317 0.013782 0.029153 0.063184 0.137198 0.291786 0.642620
2026-02-22 0.005890 0.013242 0.028830 0.064380 0.144056 0.315479 0.716477
2026-03-01 0.005349 0.012377 0.027707 0.063676 0.146657 0.330357 0.772786
2026-03-08 0.004790 0.011395 0.026202 0.061910 0.146621 0.339385 0.816899
2026-03-15 0.004296 0.010500 0.024776 0.060135 0.146313 0.347718 0.860426
2026-03-22 0.004056 0.010177 0.024629 0.061364 0.153288 0.373780 0.950220
2026-03-29 0.003780 0.009728 0.024129 0.061665 0.158028 0.395080 1.031036
2026-04-05 0.003520 0.009286 0.023589 0.061795 0.162353 0.415877 1.113357
2026-04-12 0.003322 0.008979 0.023346 0.062654 0.168657 0.442401 1.214256
2026-04-19 0.003177 0.008793 0.023390 0.064271 0.177170 0.475643 1.337710